Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 7.633553 8.719734 9.916587 11.335041 12.972649 14.806721 17.020479
2025-08-24 6.038356 7.416609 9.056514 11.158241 13.790014 16.989104 21.191692
2025-08-31 5.065582 6.549218 8.413411 10.940390 14.296005 18.626008 24.680441
2025-09-07 4.624083 6.238593 8.361515 11.377908 15.587168 21.301832 29.731626
2025-09-14 4.182932 5.851895 8.133227 11.508493 16.424872 23.400968 34.185011
2025-09-21 3.780426 5.460311 7.836509 11.480508 16.995036 25.135663 38.262571
2025-09-28 3.418577 5.081141 7.506345 11.348026 17.366885 26.578477 42.018783
2025-10-05 3.242076 4.952907 7.523389 11.724533 18.531472 29.321416 48.105463
2025-10-12 3.067439 4.806627 7.492306 12.011366 19.566959 31.944791 54.276894
2025-10-19 2.939718 4.719086 7.539499 12.419280 20.827718 35.047272 61.605671
2025-10-26 2.682084 4.397034 7.177987 12.108274 20.831855 36.003505 65.222554
2025-11-02 2.482275 4.152504 6.920949 11.945949 21.068156 37.370793 69.721390
2025-11-09 2.300408 3.925863 6.679186 11.794933 21.322290 38.818553 74.595976
2025-11-16 2.131276 3.707067 6.432103 11.609868 21.492302 40.122559 79.341453
2025-11-23 1.973011 3.494035 6.176417 11.382576 21.554134 41.215524 83.773902
2025-11-30 1.929060 3.482839 6.281397 11.839059 22.975622 45.095749 94.452744
2025-12-07 1.843799 3.388160 6.223946 11.975315 23.771536 47.797566 102.937871
2025-12-14 1.744190 3.258422 6.089572 11.946115 24.224278 49.831785 110.190796
2025-12-21 1.639635 3.111098 5.909598 11.807880 24.433475 51.366334 116.487728
2025-12-28 1.604562 3.096131 5.985698 12.200747 25.808876 55.560910 129.534161
2026-01-04 1.560701 3.060124 6.016532 12.500068 27.007809 59.487201 142.448486
2026-01-11 1.532051 3.052391 6.103327 12.925779 28.528997 64.305567 158.216908
2026-01-18 1.431188 2.889018 5.857057 12.601200 28.305259 65.030443 163.636204